Indicators provide warnings that risks may be about to crystallise. Single indicators can provide information on complex systems or scenarios if chosen correctly, but they do need to be checked for validity. Dung beetles have been monitored for years as indicators for complex eco-systems. Their numbers can provide an indicator of the impact of activities […]
Read MoreYou take risk to get reward, and if you are dissatisfied with the reward you are getting, then you might decide to take more risk. You might decide to do something to increase your company’s profit, or to earn more money from a job or from an investment. But you have to understand the nature […]
Read MoreThe Mind Palace is an ancient memory system made popular not long ago by the UK TV series Sherlock. The idea is that you remember things by placing them along a route around a house, or villa, or any journey you regularly make e.g. a run, or a round on a golf course. Placing the […]
Read MoreA bubble occurs when there is a sustained rise in price of something beyond what you might believe is its normal value. It occurs when people believe that the price will continue to rise, and so it does rise… until it collapses. In the early 1700s, the South Sea company was established in London to […]
Read MoreIn a risk assessment, one tool you can use is a risk universe. A risk universe is a list of the potential risks that your organisation, or a similar one in your line of business, might face. The risks are organised into categories such as financial, operational, people, and strategic. Under the people category, you […]
Read MoreQuestion: How do you get a million dollars? Answer: Start with a billion and go into the airline business. Nineteen airlines went bust last year and today, FlyBe. Poor risk management has been cited as the prime reason. Hedging enables you to reduce uncertainty via financial instruments such as futures, swaps and options that can […]
Read MoreAnother Black Swan event, 12 years since the last one and potentially just as devastating, but for totally different reasons. Coronavirus has been called a Black Swan event. The term was popularised by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and refers to an unexpected event, one that could not have been predicted, and that has a very large […]
Read MoreBanks are already supposed to report on what they consider the climate change risks are to their loans, their investments and to their business model. The same will go for all publicly listed companies in the next two years. The driver for this will be Mark Carney who becomes UN Special Envoy for Climate Action […]
Read More“One of the most anticipated collapses on the high street” was how one retail analyst described the demise of Mothercare UK . The risk of collapse had been staring Mothercare UK in the face for a long time: high impact – high likelihood, and no doubt glaring red on their risk map; and yet they […]
Read MoreRisk management is forward-looking; it assesses change that may bring risk, the risk to achievement of objectives. The past is not necessarily a predictor of the future, and less so in more volatile times, and times of technological, meteorological, and regulatory change. So, an alternative way of assessing future success is required. The consulting firm […]
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